Relative value of each school in the ACC

 

Relative value of each school in the ACC

Statefan Wrote

I ran an interesting experiment sort of a rough calculation of the relative value of each school within the context of the ACC. Having a great football program in a great TV market/state is better than having a suck program or being the 4th program inside the same footprint. I did the same for basketball and then looked at it from an 80/20 football basketball split. I used 14 as a base since there are 14 schools. That means the worst football program for the league got 8 points for being 14th that and the best got 112. Basketball's best got 28 points and the worst got 2.

On an 80/20 split I got

1. Florida State - 120 points (2nd Football, 7th Basketball)
2. Clemson - 116 Points (1st Football, 13th Basketball)
Tie 2. Miami - 116 (3rd Football, 5th Basketball)
4. VT - 110 (4th Football, 9th Basketball)
5. UNC - 106 (5th Football, 2nd Basketball)
6. NC State - 86 (6th Football, 8th Basketball)
7. Syracuse - 78 (8th Football, 4th Basketball)
8. Pitt - 74 (7th Football, 10th Basketball)
9. Louisville 64 (10th Football, 3rd Basketball)
Tie 9. BC 64 (9th Football, 12th Basketball)
11. UVa 50 (11th Football, 6th Basketball)
12. Duke 36 (14th Football, 1st Basketball)
13. GT 32 (12th Football, 11th Basketball)
14. WF 18 (13th Football, 14th Basketball)

Again the above is based on the last 5-6 years and the market they play in as well their actual results. It shows that football really is the be all, end all. The biggest problem Wake has is so much direct competition in the local DMA and adjoining DMA's. They have to compete with NC State and UNC football. That have to compete with VT and UVa football. They have to compete with Clemson and SC football and they have to do it at a small school that also has NFL football in the adjacent DMA. Wake has more value in the SEC or Big 10 or B12 if they are the only NC school in those leagues.

Duke basketball does not make up for a lack of Duke football and Duke football has all the market issues that Wake Forest has in addition to direct DMA competition from NC State and UNC. Syracuse, Pitt, Louisville, and BC can suck at football for a while because they play in as the only ACC entry in their DMA, and adjoining DMA's. GT faces all four professional sports and Georgia in their DMA, and Clemson, Auburn, Tennessee, Florida State, and Florida in surrounding DMA's. GT has become more valuable to the Big 10 than it is for the ACC.

One thing that immediately comes to mind is that a lot of older ACC folks have not internalized the collapse of basketball so here are those same rankings in a 50/50 football, basketball split:

1. Miami 110
2. FSU 105
Tie 3. UNC and Syracuse 90
Tie 5. VT, Duke, and Louisville 85
8. Clemson 80
Tie 9. NC State, Pitt, and UVa 65
12. BC 45
13. GT 35
14. Wake 15

This is why basketball schools with success have an outsized sense of self within the context of the league. Cut free of the NCAA we could likely increase the basketball side of the equation to 30/70 basketball to football, but right now the NCAA is stealing those funds.

JRsec

Only 2 stats matter much:
1. Revenue Generation
2. Viewership

There are 9 ACC schools which generate more annual revenue than N.C. State which is lower than 48th position nationally.

FSU, Louisville, Clemson, Miami, Duke, North Carolina, Virginia, Virginia Tech, and Pittsburgh all finished in that order in the top 48.

In Football Viewership Clemson, Florida State, Miami, Virginia Tech, Syracuse, Pittsburgh and Louisville all finish in the top 48. N.C. State is 49th.

So in the 2 stats that matter most:
FSU, Clemson, Miami, Virginia Tech and Louisville make both lists. Duke, North Carolina and Virginia acquit themselves well enough since a post NCAA will see more than a doubling of hoops revenue, and they have the bonus of AAU / and/or State Flagship status. And because their only deficits were football viewership.