Friday, December 16, 2022

ACC Football RX research: ACC CG TV Trend, 2012 - 2022

 

ACC CG TV Trend, 2012 - 2022

The ACC CG had the lowest TV ratings of the five P5 Conference Championships. Is that indicative of a trend, or is something else at work? To find out, let's analyze some historical data...

Here are the viewership numbers for the last 11 ACC Championship Games:

YearWinnerLoserNat'l
Stakes?
Viewers(M)
2012#13 Florida StGa Tech*No1.97====
2013#1 Florida St#20 DukeYes5.7============
2014#2 Florida St#12 Ga TechYes10.1====================
2015#1 Clemson#8 N CarolinaYes7.9================
2016#3 Clemson#19 Va TechYes5.34==========
2017#1 Clemson#7 MiamiYes5.43===========
2018#2 ClemsonPittYes4.24========
2019#3 Clemson#22 VirginiaYes3.97========
2020#3 Clemson#2 Notre DameYes11.65=======================
2021#15 Pitt#16 Wake ForestNo2.66=====
2022#9 Clemson#23 N CarolinaNo3.47=======

From this, I think we see two things at work:

1. When there are national championship stakes, the ACC CG gets higher TV ratings. This bodes well for the new 12-team playoff, where the top 6 conference champs get auto-bids (and the top 4 get first round byes). I think we can assume that the ACC will be in that mix more often than not.

2. From 2016 to 2019, the ACC was fairly dominated by Clemson - and there was a downward trend during that time period. Call it "Tiger fatigue" if it needs a name.

One more thing, and it's in the theory stage at the moment: Florida State draws more viewers than Clemson. All things being equal, the ACC gets better ratings when FSU is in the CCG. I have a hunch we'll be able to test that theory next season.

No comments:

Post a Comment