Prediction/Projection from HokieMark

I love to save these predicitons.  Should be interesting to see.



https://accfootballrx.blogspot.com/2018/05/breaking-acc-revenue-for-2016-17.html

ACC Revenue Distribution data is out [LINK], and man, am I good at this! Here are the total, average, reported* and (my) projected revenue payouts for all five power conferences:

Conf	Total	#Teams	Avg/Team	Reported*	Projected**	My Error
SEC	650	14	43.3	40.9	43	2.1
B1G	513	14	34.2	37	45	8
Pac12	509	12	39.2	30.9	31	0.1
BigXII	371	10	33.7	34.3	33	-1.3
ACC	418.1	14	27.9	26.6	28	1.4

* reported payouts do not always equal simple average (total divided by #teams)
** based on my post of 29 March 2017 "Revenue Projections 2015-2017"

How Close were my projections?

First of all, except for the Big Ten, my projections were SPOT ON. We're talking off by about $2 million or less for the other four. In my defense, the Big Ten itself didn't even get their numbers right, choosing to report an inflated $37 million when the actual average (total divided by teams) was closer to $34 million. As to why they fell so short of projection - perhaps the Big Ten's financial projections were unrealistic to begin with? [LINK].

Also, the Big XII reported MORE than their total divided by 11 (10 teams plus a conference), but as we already told you that's because they withdrew from their own savings in order to pay about $1M extra per school [LINK].

"Everything is proceeding just as I have foreseen"

FWIW, I'm telling you now that my 2017-18 revenue projection for the ACC is $32 million per team. Because of the contract bowl rotation, 2018-19 will be about the same.
The big jump doesn't come until 2019-20, when ACC Network money starts coming in. That year, expect about $41 million per school.